Saturday Survival Scenario: Lethal Flu Epidemic

February 2, 2013 by

Flu pandemics killed millions in the past century and could happen again at any time

Flu pandemics killed millions in the past century
and could happen again at any time

It's Saturday morning. You wake up and flick on the news.

State and local health officials have announced a state of emergency. Hospitals are filled past capacity with sick and dying patients from a fast spreading and highly lethal flu epidemic.

The CDC has set up triage and treatment tents on hospital and school grounds across the region but resources are already overwhelmed.

While officials aren't certain yet, it appears the outbreak is related to a previously less contagious H5N1 bird flu outbreak that occurred a few years ago. According to radio and TV broadcasts, early reports indicate a staggering 60% mortality rate with the new strain.

Stores, gas stations and businesses are closed for miles in every direction as radio and TV broadcasts urge people to stay home to avoid contact with infected individuals until health officials have a handle on the epidemic.

Water, electricity and other services remain unaffected. You take a look around at your existing supplies, knowing the time to prepare is past.

Are you ready?

Background on the Lethal Flu Epidemic Survival Scenario

How realistic is this lethal epidemic survival scenario? Let's take a look at some facts...

Influenza triage tents became a reality again to handle this year's flu outbreak.

While H5N1 avian flu doesn't receive as much attention in the press these days, it's still in the wild and still highly lethal. Its 60% mortality rate remains true today.

Flu pandemics now occur with increasing frequency due to widespread global travel. In the relatively mild H1N1 swine flu pandemic of 2009, roughly 1 in 5 were infected in countries around the world, including nearly half of children and young adults aged five to 19.

While medical authorities stress the need for calm (e.g. do nothing now), they still reluctantly concede that it is theoretically possible - and proven in lab environments - for the H5N1 avian flu virus to mutate into airborne transmissible forms (e.g. pass along with a sneeze).

Health officials believe in the effectiveness of quarantines to prevent the spread of infectious disease, particularly when other means are unavailable.

Finally, whether you agree or not, the government believes it has the legal right to enforce quarantine.

Would You Survive?

Think through the survival scenario described above.

Could you and your family survive this scenario for a week? A month? Six months?

What would you do in this survival scenario? How long could you hold out at home?

Would you stay home? If not, would you risk arrest and infection by attempting to break quarantine? Under what circumstances?

What will you do now to protect your family in case this lethal epidemic flu survival scenario ever comes to pass?

Share your answers and advice in the comments below.